Virus Shutdown Simulation
Projects | | Links: Project Website
How fast does a country have to shut down to prevent pandemic spread of a virus?
In the, earlier days of the pandemic, I explored an, uhh, hypothetical of a virus spreading within Country A, and then flights from A to another country B. The question was, “how long does Country B have after detecting the virus to stop flights before a critical point of spreading is reached”? There are a couple of components to the project. First is the mathematical development and analysis of the modeling using standard SIR techniques, with a two-city twist. Here’s the writeup (warning: lots of math).
As part of the analysis of the model, I also wrote a Jupyter notebook to explore the shapes of curves and verifying my mathematical findings with simulations.
The final main component is the actual project’s website. , where you can simulate and even poke around the values if you want.
